Match of the day for 14.11.2026: Portugal vs Denmark

The 14 November 2026 programme includes Kosovo vs Israel, Norway vs Wales, Georgia vs Hungary and Portugal vs Denmark. Portugal lead the group with 12 points from four wins in four matches, and they won both of their home matches this season. Denmark are second with 6 points and have scored in both of their away matches this season. In the Norway vs Wales match, the home side sit fourth with 3 points and the visitors Wales are third with 3 points, but the data mainly points to a pattern of missed chances and conceding goals. In the Kosovo vs Israel and Georgia vs Hungary matches, the data is more balanced and there is not enough clarity for a clear pick.

1. Portugal vs Denmark
Nations League · risk medium
Both teams to score: Yes
In their last four matches, Portugal scored 6 goals and conceded 3 in two away games in the league this season, and scored 3 and conceded 1 at home. Denmark scored 3 and conceded 3 in four away matches, and scored 4 and conceded 4 at home. Their last meeting, on 2026-10-01, ended Denmark 2-4 Portugal. The earlier meeting on 2025-03-23 was Portugal 5-2 Denmark. Both teams scored in three of the four matches this season, and Denmark did not concede in two matches, so neither side has a problem scoring goals. Because this pick runs against the market view, the risk level was kept at medium.

Logic of the coupon

The coupon was built around a single match because the other three matches of the day do not have enough consistent data to support a pick. In Norway vs Wales, the home side's weak home record is visible, but the goal figures were not enough to support the match. In Kosovo vs Israel and Georgia vs Hungary, both teams show similar form and goal trends, so no safe direction could be chosen. The riskiest part of the pick is both teams to score. Denmark's away goals conceded and Portugal's defensive consistency in their last match make the expected goals uncertain.

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